Generating downscaled weather data from a suite of climate models for agricultural modelling applications
نویسندگان
چکیده
0308-521X/$ see front matter 2012 Elsevier Ltd. A http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2012.08.002 ⇑ Corresponding author. Tel.: +254 131 667 1960. E-mail addresses: [email protected] (P.G. Jo (P.K. Thornton). 1 Tel.: +44 1341 423561. We describe a generalised downscaling and data generation method that takes the outputs of a General Circulation Model and allows the stochastic generation of daily weather data that are to some extent characteristic of future climatologies. Such data can then be used to drive any agricultural model that requires daily (or otherwise aggregated) weather data. The method uses an amalgamation of unintelligent empirical downscaling, climate typing and weather generation. We outline a web-based software tool (http://gismap.ciat.cgiar.org/MarkSimGCM) to do this for a subset of the climate models and scenario runs carried out for the 2007 Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. We briefly assess the tool and comment on its use and limitations. 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
منابع مشابه
Evaluation of downscaled, gridded climate data for the conterminous United States.
Weather and climate affect many ecological processes, making spatially continuous yet fine-resolution weather data desirable for ecological research and predictions. Numerous downscaled weather data sets exist, but little attempt has been made to evaluate them systematically. Here we address this shortcoming by focusing on four major questions: (1) How accurate are downscaled, gridded climate d...
متن کاملبررسی اثرات تغییر اقلیم بر منابع آب زیرزمینی دشت اسلامآباد و بهینهسازی تخصیص سطح اراضی آن
In arid and semiarid regions, water demands of different sectors are related to groundwater resources. Therefore, the assessment of its changes is very important to achieve sustainable development and optimal management of aquifers in the future periods. The aim of this study was to evaluate the effects of climate change on Islamabad aquifer. For this purpose, the output of general circulation ...
متن کاملA daily weather generator for use in climate change studies
This paper describes the development of a weather generator for use in climate impact assessments of agricultural and water system management. The generator produces internally consistent series of meteorological variables including: rainfall, temperature, humidity, wind, sunshine, as well as derivation of potential evapotranspiration. The system produces series at a daily time resolution, usin...
متن کاملDownscaled and debiased climate simulations for North America from 21,000 years ago to 2100AD
Increasingly, ecological modellers are integrating paleodata with future projections to understand climate-driven biodiversity dynamics from the past through the current century. Climate simulations from earth system models are necessary to this effort, but must be debiased and downscaled before they can be used by ecological models. Downscaling methods and observational baselines vary among re...
متن کاملMultisite downscaling of daily precipitation with a stochastic weather generator
Stochastic models of daily precipitation are useful both for characterizing different precipitation climates and for stochastic simulation of these climates in conjunction with agricultural, hydrological, or other response models. A simple stochastic precipitation model is used to downscale— i.e. disaggregate from area-average to individual station—precipitation statistics for 6 groups of 5 U.S...
متن کامل